Post-Tariff Dip: Is the Bitcoin Bear Market Over?
John Barry | Fri Apr 04 2025
One day after the Big Tariff announcement, Bitcoin is trading at $82,600, flat in the past 24 hours. In contrast, the QC500 Index—an aggregate of the top 500 cryptocurrencies by market cap—has risen 1.7%, suggesting a modest uptick in overall market sentiment. The stability in Bitcoin’s price action has led many to ask: have we seen the lowest prices of 2025?
The question arises in the wake of a significant global event—the announcement of reciprocal tariffs on April 3, which rattled traditional markets and was expected to hit crypto hard. However, Bitcoin proved resilient, briefly dipping to $81,250 before mounting a swift recovery. Remarkably, this price level has now acted as support four times in the past week, each instance followed by a bounce, reinforcing its importance on the current chart.
While it may be premature to call a definitive bottom—especially as most technical indicators remain bearish—the market’s reaction to one of the most disruptive policy announcements of the year has been notably measured. With such a significant macroeconomic risk absorbed with limited downside, it's becoming harder to imagine any future trade development causing a deeper correction.
Time to be Positive about Bitcoin and Crypto?
Positive developments in 2025 have begun to reshape the narrative around crypto regulation and adoption. Multiple SEC settlements—favoring projects like XRP, Uniswap, Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, OpenSea, and Robinhood—have signaled a shift toward more constructive engagement. Other milestones include the establishment of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, the White House Crypto Summit, new crypto ETF filings, and updated FDIC guidance allowing banks to engage with digital assets. Together, these events show that the U.S. government's "War on Crypto" has ended —potentially ushering in a new era of adoption and price appreciation, as sentiment shifts toward a “Make Crypto Great Again” mindset.
For now, Bitcoin’s ability to hold its ground in the face of geopolitical stress is offering a glimmer of hope for bulls. As always in crypto, volatility remains the only constant—but for the moment, resilience appears to be winning the day.
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